Improved business climate helps economy

The Vietnamese economy grew 7.08% in 2018, the highest growth rate for the past 11 years, fuelled by an improved business climate, positive economic structure transformation and impressive exports, the latest updates from the General Statistics Office (GSO) revealed.

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GSO’s General Director Nguyen Bich Lam said at the conference on December 27 that the economy had a very impressive year with record growth of the agro-forestry-fishery sector, new firms, foreign tourist arrivals, disbursed foreign direct investment and trade surplus.  

The Vietnamese economy scale reached VND5.535 quadrillion (US$240 billion) with GDP per capita at US$2,587, up by US$198 over 2017, according to GSO.

Of note, the economic growth quality also improved significantly, Lam said.

The total factor productivity (TFP), which measures the contribution of supply-side production factors to economic growth, contributed 43.5 per to GDP growth and averaged 43.29% in the 2016-18 period, much higher than the average of 33.58% of the 2011-15 period. Labour productivity was estimated at US$4,522, up by US$346 over the previous year.

The incremental capital output ratio (ICOR) (the additional capital required to increase one unit of output) receded from 6.11 in 2017 to 5.95 in 2018, reflecting that capital efficiency improved, Lâm said.

In overall GDP growth, the agro-forestry-fishery sector contributed 8.7%, the industry and construction sector 48.6% and the services sector 42.7%.

The country ran a record surplus of US$7.2 billion in 2018, of which, the domestic sector posted a trade deficit of US$25.6 billion and the foreign-invested sector a trade surplus of US$32.8 billion (including crude oil).

However, the export growth of the domestic sector was higher than the foreign-invested sector, Lam said, citing statistics that the export growth of the former was 15.9%, higher than 12.9% of the latter.

Regarding foreign direct investment (FDI), despite a fall of 13.9% in registered capital to US$25.57 billion, the disbursed capital reached a record of US$19.1 billion, up by 9.1% over 2017, statistics showed.

According to Lam, the improved business climate and positive results of the economic structure transformation were major drivers for economic growth in 2018.

Lam added that the economic growth momentum would continue in 2019 and the National Assembly’s economic growth target at 6.8% could be achieved.

Lam said that Vietnam needed to focus on improving its business climate and hastening administrative procedures to create favourable conditions for businesses and reviewing the legal system for adjustments to effectively implement new-generation free trade agreements. In addition, the country should also attach special attention to promoting the application of advanced technologies. 

Inflation target fulfilled

Vietnam’s consumer price index (CPI) rose by 3.54%, fulfilling the National Assembly’s target of keeping CPI at below 4% in 2018.

GSO’s statistics showed that CPI dropped by 0.25% over the previous month.

Significant drops in fuel prices dragged down the CPI in December.

In the domestic market, petrol prices were reduced twice in December with a total decrease of VND1,830 per litre for Ron A95 and VND1,840 for biofuel E5. On average, petrol prices dropped by 10.77% against November. Drops in fuel prices made transportation services prices fall by 4.88% in December.

Gas prices also fell by 9.64%.

Transportation and housing and building materials were the only two categories in 11 categories of the CPI product basket to see drops in prices in December.

Core inflation (excluding food, fresh foodstuffs, energy, healthcare and education services) rose 1.48% in 2018, fulfilling the target of capping the index at below 1.6%, reflecting the effectiveness and stability of the monetary policies, GSO said.

VNS

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