Investment wave from EU on way

With his strong confidence that more European investment will enter Vietnam thanks to the EU-­Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) Bruno Angelet, Ambassador and head of the European Union Delegation to Vietnam, told VIR that Vietnam has and will continue being a very good location for European investors.

“European investors remain quite optimistic about conducting business in Vietnam, where they see great potential,” he said. “The EU can offer investment in hi-tech, environmentally-friendly and less energy-consuming sectors. European businesses do not only bring technology and quality jobs but also responsible business practices,” he said. “This quality European investment can create useful links with local companies and integrate them in the global value chains.”

A rise in confidence

The EVFTA will eliminate over 99 per cent of tariffs, with the EU eliminating duties on thousands of items sourced from Vietnam. Meanwhile, Vietnam will liberalise 65 per cent of import duties on EU exports to Vietnam, with the remainder of duties being gradually eliminated over a 10-year period.

The EVFTA will benefit EU businesses exporting and investing in Vietnam. For example, Siemens Vietnam president and CEO Pham Thai Lai told VIR the EVFTA is a great foundation to further boost trade, to attract more investment, to create more jobs and to foster sustainable development between the EU and Vietnam.

“In the coming years, I strongly believe that we can expect a robust investment growth from the EU to Vietnam and a substantial increase in export from Vietnam to the EU as a result of the removal of over 99 per cent of tariffs on goods traded between the two economies,” Lai said.

Furthermore, according to him, Vietnam’s commitment to ensure a more open and transparent business environment will help to increase the investment flow from high-valued projects of the EU in Vietnam. This will enable Vietnam to become a hub for trade and investment activities of the EU in the Southeast Asia. The increase in value chains and value added services will support Vietnam to restructure its economic growth model and will be a key driver for Vietnam’s ambition to become an industrialised nation in a near future.

“Vietnam’s demand for basic infrastructure is huge. I see in the fields of energy generation and transportation, public transportation, industrial automation, efficient buildings and healthcare enormous potentials,” Lai said.

In another case, Swedish glove-maker Hestra Company said the EVFTA will give EU investors like it a helping hand.

“With the EVFTA in place, we would look to invest in a new factory in Vietnam with 200-400 employees, alongside our current factory. This would not only be a good opportunity for our company, but also create more job opportunities for the local community,” said Hestra’s owner Svante Magnusson.

Hestra, which exports its gloves to over 30 countries worldwide, will benefit from the removal of EU tariffs on gloves of up to 9 per cent. This will make it easier for Hestra to export its products to the EU.

The agreement’s new rules of origin will make it easier to trade products tariff-free when they include inputs from other countries the EU has trade agreements with. This will benefit textile producers, as well as the likes of Hestra. The company exports textiles and wool from the EU to its factory in Vietnam. With the trade agreement, the products can then be shipped to the EU tariff free.

According to the European Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam’s (EuroCham) Business Climate Index for the fourth quarter of 2018, conducted over 250 European companies in Vietnam, more than seven out of 10 European business leaders are optimistic about the future, with 74 per cent anticipating a positive start to 2019. Furthermore, over 50 per cent of business leaders anticipate growing their workforce in the first quarter of 2019, with 49 per cent anticipating a moderate increase and 7 per cent predicting a significant increase.

EuroCham members also sent a positive signal about their future investment plans in Vietnam, with almost six out of 10 planning either a moderate (47 per cent) or significant (11 per cent) increase. This is 6 per cent higher than in the previous financial quarter.

Nicolas Audier, co-chairman of EuroCham, said, “Vietnam has been on the radar of European investors for some time, and their interest continues to increase as we approach the final stages of ratification of the EVFTA. European companies are right to be optimistic about investing in this country.”

Vietnam’s new mindset in FDI attraction

According to Bruno Angelet, European investment in Vietnam does yet not meet its full potential. Over the past decade, investment from the EU accounted for $23.9 billion in capital and 2,133 in number of projects, mostly on the sectors of industry, construction, and service. The EU’s ranking in comparison with other important foreign direct investment (FDI) partners of Vietnam during the past 10 years varies from third to sixth position.

Angelet said that Vietnam would need to improve its way of attracting FDI. Until now, the country’s FDI attraction policy relied heavily on tax breaks, concessional rates and import duty exemptions. Many investors have come to Vietnam because of the investment incentives and low labour costs.

“Attracting innovative, technologically-advanced FDI requires a more sophisticated investment policy and tools,” he said. “Therefore, Vietnam should continue working towards removing existing trade and investment barriers and improving the business climate. In this context, transparency is key for investors to know the regulations and procedures to follow.”

It is also vital that Vietnam guarantees a stable legal framework for investors to operate and a functioning enforcement system. “We urge Vietnam to ­improve the recognition and enforcement of foreign arbitral awards and to set up a ­grievance system for investors to avoid disputes. Vietnam is also strongly encouraged to ­accede to the International ­Centre for Settlement of ­Investment Disputes Convention,” Angelet stressed.

Expected to be inked soon

Last week, EuroCham said that the EVFTA may be signed in the latter half of this year, not ­before May as expected.

However, in the long term, EuroCham believes that Vietnam has “the opportunity through new-generation free trade agreements like the EVFTA to take the next step up the value chain and ­become an even more open and successful leader on the world stage.”

Vietnam and the EU had expected that the deal would be inked and become valid in 2017 and then last year. However, after finalising negotiations in 2015, the process of adoption and ratification has been slow. The main factor was the need to split the EVFTA into two parts in order to align it with the decision of the European Court of Justice on the competence sharing between the European Union and its member states.

Instead of having one single agreement, the so-called mixed agreement implied double ­ratification by EU institutions and one by the member states and ratification of individual ­members, according to constitutional rules.

The agreement has been split into two parts, the first on trade and the second on the investment protection agreement (IPA). The trade part is to be adopted and ratified by the EU Council and EU Parliament, whereas the IPA which will continue to require ratification from individual member states.

“Against this background, it appears unlikely that the ratification process can be concluded before the coming elections of the EU Parliament [in May]. Therefore, it can be expected that the procedure will be completed by the end of 2019 at best,” said the Whitebook released by EuroCham last week. “This delay is somewhat unfortunate, as European investors are exposed to the competition of third parties who already benefit from preferential FTAs like the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement or the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). In any case, the challenge remains in the form of the pending approval of the EU Parliament.”

However, Angelet from the European Union Delegation to Vietnam, told VIR, “I am confident that Vietnam and the EU will ink the EVFTA this summer. However, whether the deal will be adopted by the newly-elected EU Parliament remains unclear,” he said. “It is expected that in September or October, we will be able to know about the parliament’s plan on adoption of the deal.”