Fitch Ratings affirms Vietnam at 'BB' with positive outlook

Credit ratings agency Fitch Ratings has affirmed Vietnam's long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at 'BB' with a positive outlook.

In a commentary published on its website, Fitch Ratings said Vietnam's rating reflects its strong medium-term growth prospects, lower government debt compared to peers, and favourable external debt profile.

The agency expected a growth rate of 7.4% for Vietnam in 2022, led by strong gains in industry, construction and services. High FDI in manufacturing should continue to support robust growth in the medium term.

However, as downside risks remain, related to the economic implications of the Ukraine war and tighter global funding conditions, Fitch Ratings forecast a slowdown in GDP growth, to 6.2% in 2023.

According to the agency, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) has intervened in the foreign exchange market, which led to FX reserves falling to under US$100 billion, after rising to a record US$109.8 billion at the end of 2021.

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